We’ve reached a milestone with our 100th episode of “Your Next Trade.” Week after week, we’ve been guiding you through the stock market and various asset classes. 2025 has been particularly eventful, offering numerous opportunities for traders. Here’s a recap of the latest market movements and insights.

Market Recap: Post-Easter Movements

• Options Expiry Resurrection: The options expiry, which occurred on Thursday instead of the usual Friday due to Good Friday, led to a market reset. This reset triggered a rally starting Monday, despite initial sell-offs due to tariff concerns.

  

   

• Tariff Tensions: The market initially reacted negatively to tariff announcements, but a subsequent pullback by the Trump administration, influenced by pressure from the bond market and key financial figures, led to a recovery.
• Strong Week for Assets: The S&P 500 rose by 4.6%, NASDAQ by 7%, and Bitcoin by 11%. Despite some reversals, most asset classes showed strong performance.

  

   

Sector Performance and Trends

• Tech and Retail Surge: Semiconductors, software, cloud, and internet technology sectors saw significant gains. Retail traders actively bought dips in major names like Tesla and Nvidia.
• Consumer Staples and Utilities: These sectors, typically seen as safe havens, underperformed during the risk-on week but remain strong year-to-date.

  

   

• Interest Rates and Bond Market: Rates are around 4.25%, with the bond market still digesting tariff-related news. The Fed is expected to implement three rate cuts by year-end.

  

   

   

Volatility and Technical Analysis

• VIX at 25%: Volatility remains high due to ongoing uncertainties. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ charts indicate a potential upward trend, driven by retail traders and options activity.
• Gold and Euro Movements: Gold saw a significant reversal, and the Euro-Dollar pair experienced fluctuations, reflecting broader market trends.

   

  

Gold Weekly Chart.

Earnings Season Insights

• Positive Earnings Reports: Out of 178 companies in the S&P 500, most have beaten expectations. However, future outlooks remain uncertain, with many companies downgrading forecasts.

  

   

• Impact of a Weaker Dollar: A weaker US dollar is expected to benefit exporters, providing a tailwind for future earnings.

Looking Ahead

• Key Catalysts: Tariff announcements, macroeconomic data (GDP, PMIs, ISM), and major earnings reports (Amazon, Apple, Microsoft) will be crucial in the coming weeks.

  

   

• Market Expectations: The S&P 500 is expected to move within a 2.5% range this week. The bond market and Fed’s actions will also be closely watched.

Community and Mentoring

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Happy a good Trading Week!

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Greg📩 Contact: greg@duponttrading.com